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November 01, 2007
Week 10: Picks
Posted at November 1, 2007 12:53 AM in College Football
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The system went an excellent 40-11 straight up last week. Unfortunately, it went only 25-24-2 against the spread. Here are the year-to-date results:
| Week | Straight Up | SU% | Against the Spread | ATS% |
| 9-22-07 | 33-15 | 68.8 | 27-20-1 | 57.4 |
| 9-29-07 | 37-16 | 69.8 | 23-29-1 | 44.2 |
| 10-06-07 | 35-19 | 64.8 | 28-24-2 | 53.8 |
| 10-13-07 | 41-14 | 74.5 | 30-24-0 | 55.6 |
| 10-20-07 | 33-20 | 62.3 | 26-24-3 | 52.0 |
| 10-27-07 | 40-11 | 78.1 | 25-24-2 | 51.0 |
| Total | 218-95 | 69.6 | 159-145-9 | 52.3 |
Once again the best bets underperformed: 10-9-2 ATS, or 52.6%; the regular system picks were 15-15-0, or 50%. After two weeks the revamped best bets are 20-18-3 (52.6%), while the other system picks are 31-30-2 (50.8%). 3 Star picks went 2-5-1. 2 Star picks went 5-2-1. 1 Star picks went 3-2-0. There were not any 4 Star picks. I'd like to see the best bets do better, but the system as a whole has been performing poorly over the last two weeks. Here are my best bets for week 10:
| Confidence | Away | Home | Point Spread | Pick |
 |
Michigan | Michigan State | Michigan by 4 | Michigan State |
|
Washington | Stanford | Washington by 3 | Stanford |
|
Virginia Tech | Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech by 3 | Virginia Tech |
|
Temple | Ohio | Ohio by 7.5 | Ohio |
 |
Nevada | New Mexico State | Nevada by 7 | New Mexico State |
|
Texas | Oklahoma State | Texas by 3 | Oklahoma State |
|
New Mexico | TCU | New Mexico by 3.5 | TCU |
|
Buffalo | Miami of Ohio | Miami by 6.5 | Buffalo |
|
Colorado State | BYU | BYU by 21 | Colorado State |
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Texas A&M | Oklahoma | Oklahoma by 21 | Texas A&M |
|
UCLA | Arizona | UCLA by 2.5 | UCLA |
 |
Texas Tech | Baylor | Texas Tech by 21 | Baylor |
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Wake Forest | Virginia | Pick'em | Wake Forest |
|
Iowa | Northwestern | Northwestern by 1 | Iowa |
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Maryland | North Carolina | North Carolina by 2.5 | Maryland |
|
Ball State | Indiana | Indiana by 6.5 | Ball State |
|
Purdue | Penn State | Penn State by 7 | Penn State |